There will be plenty of new faces on the Michigan men’s basketball team this season, including two top players coming from the transfer gate: Princeton’s Jaylene Llewellyn and Duke’s Joey Baker.
we I already looked at the advanced stats To highlight what Llewellyn could look like in the Michigan offensive next season, but Baker is a bit more of a puzzle given his Duke’s playing time has been spotty.
Becker said: “I think my biggest strength will be in my three-point shot, something I did at Duke a ton. There is a lot of my game that I haven’t shown at Duke. I hope I will also be able to show it this year.
Will he be able to move forward with his game in Ann Arbor? Only time will tell, but for now, here’s a breakdown of what you can expect from him offensively, based on advanced stats from last season (all stats provided by CBAAnalytics on Twitter)
Baker is a great shooter, especially in the triple corner
Having players who can consistently hit corner threes is essential in modern basketball: it’s the easiest pass of the three-point options for the leading goalkeeper and players tend to take the most threes from those points. And the third pillar is exactly where Baker thrives.
Baker fired 47.4% on corner threes last season (the 87th percentile in all college basketball), including 60% on three-pointers at home (the 97th percentile).
With all of these stats, it’s important to keep in mind that we’re operating with a small sample size. He shot 9 for 19 on three corner kicks last year and averaged just 11.9 minutes per game, and a lot of those minutes came when Duke was already 15 minutes or more ahead.
It’s safe to assume he’s going to take more corner threes next year in Michigan, but if he can shoot anywhere from 36-40% of there, that gives Michigan a reliable three-point option and a safety valve if Hunter Dickinson is after follow-up or The drive from Llewellyn does not result in an easy finish near the edge.
I imagine Michigan would run a few sets like the one in the clip below (37 seconds mark) where the defender guarding the Baker would have to choose between holding onto him and opening a ballpark driving lane or diving in paint, providing space for Becker to make that defender push.
Becker needs to improve from the mid-range
I’ve seen a lot of Michigan fans online comparing Baker and Nick Stuskas or Duncan Robinson, but the biggest difference between them is that Baker isn’t nearly as good at creating his own midrange shot.
Becker didn’t take as many mid-range shots last year, but he didn’t take as many shots as he did, hitting 23.5% of mid-range field goals last season. This put him in the 20th percentile in college basketball.
Looking at the highlights in high school, it seems that Becker believed in the Daryl Morey mindset from a young age – he actually takes three or drives to the edge before launching a float or using a late spinning action to get to the bucket.
It may be a bit too late to teach an old dog new tricks, but it can be helpful for Michiganders to try and get some mid-range shots to get a steady flow. Working on a wing pickup could do with a guy like Tarris Reed Jr. To open these opportunities to him.
He’s at his best spotting, but he has a great fake pump before attacking
as such Male Ant Wright In a recent video of Baker’s game-breaking, he thrives as a shooter. He is ranked in the 80th percentile nationally on spot shots and in the 96th percentile on non-dribbling jump shots, proving to be more efficient in this category than Big Ten stars like Keegan Murray and Alfonso Plummer.
Baker can also keep defenders guessing with a fake hard pump before attacking the edge. It does a great job of keeping its head on a swivel to look for fellow shooters and tends to drive to the middle of the ground, where it would be a little easier to do a dump pass downhill.
He would never be the first or second choice in attacking Wolverine, but if Baker can take advantage of those counterattacks when the defense collapses, he adds another layer to what would otherwise be a conference top attack.
It is better than the left side of the earth than the right side
Looking at his shooting scheme from last season, Becker takes more shots from the left side of the ground than the right (45 combined shots for the left and left corner three times, compared to 23 combined shots at those points on the other side of the ground), which is He takes advantage of those attempts often.
Becker succeeds in the left corner (he has made 54.5% of his 11 attempts from there) and on the left wing (he has made 50% of his 34 attempts). These scores rank him in the 90th and 95th percentiles in college basketball, respectively. He’s a flat elite on this side of the earth, compared to his shooting only 13.3% on right-wing triples and 37.5% on right-angle triples.
With 89 college basketball games under his belt, defenses at this point should know he prefers the left side of the ground, which means Michigan will have to get creative with how they get the ball there.
I’d love to see Joan Howard pull it off the squiggly, glowing screens, similar to what the Wolverines did with Eli Brooks when he was hot last season. Plus, they can keep him on that side of the ground as a third off pick-and-roll option, or make sure he’s running that side of the ground when the Wolverines push the ball during the transition.
Is it reasonable to expect Becker to be a leading goal-scoring option for the Wolverines this season? Mostly not. But it does provide Michigan with a much-needed three-point shot and gives a young team a veteran captain (don’t forget: Baker was a captain on the Duke team that made Final Four last season).
If he can get hot from the depths and can use those tags to create a fake shot, his offensive blast could swing a few games in favor of Michigan next season.